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PINNACLE FINANCIAL PARTNERS INC (PNFP)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 delivered strong core performance: diluted EPS of $2.00 (adjusted also $2.00) vs $0.64 YoY, with total revenues of $505.0M (+15% YoY on an adjusted basis), NIM +2 bps QoQ to 3.23%, and adjusted PPNR +12% YoY to $218.7M .
- Versus S&P Global consensus, EPS beat by $0.09*, while S&P’s “Revenue (actual)” shows a miss vs its $497.3M consensus*; company-reported total revenues were $505.0M and would imply a modest beat on that basis (definition differences) .
- Management tightened 2025 outlook: raised loan growth low-end to 9–11% (from 8–11%), lifted fee income growth to 12–15% (from 8–10%), kept deposit growth at 7–10%, set NII growth at 12–13%, and updated expense outlook to $1,145–$1,155M; BHG earnings growth raised to ~40% (from ~20%) .
- Operating momentum remains driven by talent-led market share gains: 38 revenue producers hired in Q2 (71 YTD) and de novo entry into Richmond; C&I loans grew 21.9% LQA; noninterest-bearing deposits rose $133M in Q2 .
- Subsequent event/catalyst: announced an all-stock combination with Synovus (SNV) on 7/24/25 targeting 20%+ EPS accretion by 2027 and 2.6-year TBV earnback; closing expected 1Q26 (subject to approvals) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- C&I-led loan growth and stable funding: Loans +10.7% LQA; C&I loans +21.9% LQA; noninterest-bearing deposits +$133M; NIM expanded to 3.23% .
- Broad-based fee momentum: Wealth management +16% YoY to $32.3M; BHG income up to $26.0M with originations reaching $1.5B and improving credit metrics; other noninterest income +$6.1M YoY (FV gains in equity investments) .
- Operating leverage and profitability: Adjusted PPNR +12% YoY; efficiency ratio improved to 56.7% from 74.0% YoY; ROTCE rose to 13.75% .
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What Went Wrong
- Credit normalization: Net charge-offs rose to 0.20% (annualized) from 0.16% in Q1; NPAs increased to 0.44% of loans/ORE/NPAs (vs 0.30% YoY) .
- Expense pressure: Salaries/benefits +21% YoY, driven by headcount/incentive accruals (115% payout assumption); marketing/BD +29% YoY with new sponsorships and headcount-driven engagement costs .
- S&P revenue definition optics: S&P’s revenue “actual” ($480.7M*) came in below its $497.3M consensus*, despite company-reported revenues of $505.0M; creates headline “miss” under one definition .
Financial Results
Headline vs Estimates (S&P Global)
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Notes: Company “total revenues” include net interest income + noninterest income (with noted adjustments). S&P’s “Revenue” methodology may differ, which can create optics differences vs the company-reported figure .
Quarterly Trend
Revenue Mix / Select Fees
KPIs and Balance Sheet
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Second quarter revenues increased by approximately 36.4% linked-quarter annualized over Q1 2025 and 21.8% over the same quarter last year … Loan growth for the second quarter was approximately 10.7% linked-quarter annualized” — Terry Turner, CEO .
- “Our commercial and industrial (C&I) loan segment continued to show strong growth as these loans increased 21.9% linked quarter annualized … noninterest bearing deposits increased by $133.4 million in the second quarter” — Harold Carpenter, CFO .
- “We experienced some margin expansion in the second quarter from the first quarter and expect continued expansion into the third quarter … BHG had another sound quarter, providing $26.0 million in fee revenues” — Harold Carpenter, CFO .
Q&A Highlights
- Growth durability and M&A: Management reiterated preference for organic, talent-led share gains; M&A would be considered mainly in a succession context; de novo Richmond targeted to $1–1.5B over five years .
- NIM drivers and betas: Expect flat-to-up NIM in Q3 with stable noninterest-bearing balances; deposit betas expected to hold, with more opportunity on cuts .
- CRE re-entry: Writing new multi-family/industrial within concentration limits; expect balances to turn positive over coming quarters .
- BHG outlook and mix: 2025 earnings growth view raised to ~40% (from ~20%); mix skew ~70/30 consumer/commercial, with consumer improvement more impactful .
- Credit/provision: Net charge-offs guided to 18–20 bps for 2025 (+2 bps at low end); provision to average loans 24–25 bps using 70% base/30% pessimistic scenario .
Estimates Context
- EPS: $2.00 vs S&P Global consensus $1.91* — a beat of $0.09.
- Revenue: S&P “actual” $480.7M* vs $497.3M consensus* (miss); company-reported total revenues were $505.0M, which exceed S&P consensus, reflecting definitional differences in “revenue” .
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Talent flywheel still compounding: hiring momentum and market extensions continue to drive outsized C&I growth and stable core deposits, supporting sustained NII expansion .
- Margin has near-term upside bias: stable noninterest-bearing base and fixed-rate repricing support flat-to-up NIM in Q3; incremental upside requires a friendlier curve and deposit repricing on cuts .
- Fees are an upside lever: 2025 fee growth raised to 12–15% (vs 8–10%) on wealth and BHG; this diversifies earnings and reduces reliance on spread in a flat curve .
- Credit normalizing, but well reserved: NCOs drifting toward guided 18–20 bps; ACL/loans ~1.14% with NPAs at 44 bps — manageable with strong underwriting and mix .
- Expense discipline vs growth: Higher incentive accruals and headcount expand OpEx, but revenue growth and efficiency improvements preserve operating leverage; 2025 expense range now set .
- Guidance bias positive: Loan growth floor raised; fee guidance raised; NII tightened at 12–13%; BHG outlook doubled — estimate revisions likely trend higher on the fee/BHG side .
- Strategic catalyst: The announced Synovus combination targets >20% EPS accretion by 2027 with a 2.6-year TBV earnback and positions the franchise for scaled Southeastern share gains (closing 1Q26, subject to approvals) .
S&P Global disclaimer: All values marked with * are retrieved from S&P Global.
Citations:
- Q2 2025 8-K/Press Release data including revenues, NIM, PPNR, fees, BHG, loans, deposits, capital and KPIs: .
- Q2 2025 earnings call transcript (guidance, themes, Q&A): .
- Q1 2025 press release (prior quarter trend/guidance context): .
- Q4 2024 press release (prior quarter trend): .
- Synovus combination announcement (subsequent event/catalyst): .